UMEDA Michio 梅田道生

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Umeda Michio 梅田道生

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Researcher Number	80735324
Other IDs
Affiliation (Current)	2025: 駒澤大学, グローバル・メディア・スタディーズ学部, 教授
Affiliation (based on the past Project Information) *help	2023 – 2025: 駒澤大学, グローバル・メディア・スタディーズ学部, 教授 2019 – 2022: 駒澤大学, グローバル・メディア・スタディーズ学部, 准教授 2017 – 2018: 愛媛大学, 法文学部, 准教授 2014 – 2016: 愛媛大学, 法文学部, 講師
Review Section/Research Field	Principal Investigator Basic Section 06010:Politics-related / Politics Except Principal Investigator Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Keywords	Principal Investigator 有権者動員 / 計量政治学 / 選挙制度 / 選挙環境 / 選挙戦略 / Dyadic Represenation / 選挙予測 / 選挙区訪問 / 投票行動 / Dyadic Representation … More / 民主的代表 / 比較政治 / 政治過程論 / 人口移動 / 争点投票 / 投票参加 / 高齢化社会 / 福祉政策と世論 / 争点の顕出性 / 人口高齢化と政治 / 福祉国家 / 世論調査 / 争点顕在性 / 人口高齢化の政治 / 選挙政治 / 参議院 / 日本政治 … More Except Principal Investigator 感情的分極化 / 民主主義の後退 / 暴力的党派性 Less

地域レベルの有権者の政策選好の推定、およびこれを規定する要因とその政治的帰結Principal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  梅田道生
- Project Period (FY)
  2025 – 2028
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
- Research Institution
  Komazawa University
暴力的党派性は民主政治を後退させるか：日本における暴力的党派性の実在と効果の検証
- Principal Investigator
  
  西川賢
- Project Period (FY)
  2024 – 2026
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
- Research Institution
  Tsuda University
日本における地域の諸特性と候補者の選挙戦略，選挙結果の関係に関する研究Principal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  梅田道生
- Project Period (FY)
  2019 – 2024
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
- Research Institution
  Komazawa University
The Politics of Aging: Party Mobilization Strategies and Government Spending Structure for the Elderly/Young GenerationsPrincipal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  Umeda Michio
- Project Period (FY)
  2016 – 2018
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
- Research Field
  
  Politics
- Research Institution
  Ehime University
The Effect of the Uneven District Magnitude of the Japanese House of Councillors on the Electoral Competition and its Democratic ConsequencePrincipal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  Umeda Michio
- Project Period (FY)
  2014 – 2015
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up
- Research Field
  
  Politics
- Research Institution
  Ehime University

All 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Journal Article Presentation

[Journal Article] 衆議院選挙制度改革以降の参院選との比較における2022年参院選の特徴2024
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Journal Title
  
  選挙研究
  
  Volume: 39（2） Pages: 91-105
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Journal Article] 選挙区レベルの質的な選挙情勢報道の統合とこれを用いた2021年衆院選の選挙結果予測2023
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Journal Title
  
  Journal of Global Media Studies
  
  Volume: 33 Pages: 1-18
- Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Journal Article] Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast election results: Evidence from Japan2023
- Author(s)
  UMEDA Michio
- Journal Title
  
  International Journal of Forecasting
  
  Volume: 39 Issue: 2 Pages: 956-966
- DOI
  10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.03.006
- Peer Reviewed / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Journal Article] Dyadic representation in parliamentary democracy in Japan2022
- Author(s)
  Umeda Michio
- Journal Title
  
  Japanese Journal of Political Science
  
  Volume: 23 Issue: 4 Pages: 295-312
- DOI
  10.1017/s1468109922000202
- Peer Reviewed / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Journal Article] District Magnitude and Electoral Mobilization: How Uneven Electoral Systems Shift the Focus of Campaign Efforts by Political Parties2021
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Journal Title
  
  Japanese Journal of Political Science
  
  Volume: -
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Journal Article] The Politics of Aging: Age Difference in Welfare Issue Salience in Japan, 1972-20162020
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Journal Title
  
  Political Behavior
  
  Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 575-597
- DOI
  10.1007/s11109-020-09627-0
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Examining Party Leader District Visits and Vote Share: A Case from Japanese Lower House Elections2024
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  計量・数理政治研究会2024年冬季集会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Examining Party Leader District Visits and Vote Share: A Case from Japanese Lower House Elections2024
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  81st Annual Midwest Political Science Association Conference
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Ally with a Labor Union or the Leftist?: Strategic Positioning of the Center-Leftist Candidates on the Nuclear Power Plant Issue in Japan2024
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  81st Annual Midwest Political Science Association Conference
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] 衆議院選挙制度改革後の参院選2023
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本選挙学会 2023年度総会・研究会
- Invited
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Ally with a labor union or the leftist?: How the politicians strategically positioned themselves for the nuclear power plant issue in Japan2023
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  計量・数理政治研究会2023年夏季集会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Ally with a labor union or the leftist?: How the politicians strategically positioned themselves for the nuclear power plant issue in Japan.2023
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  JSQPS2023年夏季集会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast the 2021 LH general election results in Japan2022
- Author(s)
  UMEDA Michio
- Organizer
  Japanese Society for Quantitative Political Science (JSQPS) 2022 Winter Meeting
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast the 2021 LH general election results in Japan2022
- Author(s)
  UMEDA Michio
- Organizer
  Asian Polmeth 2022
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] 報道各社による選挙情勢報道を統合した2021年衆院選の選挙結果予測2022
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本選挙学会 2022年度総会・研究会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast election results: Evidence from Japan2022
- Author(s)
  UMEDA Michio
- Organizer
  79th Annual Midwest Political Science Association Conference
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] 日本の報道各社による選挙情勢報道を統合した選挙結果予測2021
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本選挙学会 2021年度総会・研究会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] 日本の報道各社による選挙情勢報道を統合した選挙結果予測2021
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  2021年度日本選挙学会研究会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-19K01472
[Presentation] Dyadic Representation in Japanese Parliament: Adaptation by Candidates and Selection by Constituencies2018
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本選挙学会2018年度総会・研究会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17052
[Presentation] Dyadic Representation in Japanese Parliament: Adaptation by Candidates and Selection by Constituencies2018
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  The 2018 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17052
[Presentation] Party Mobilization Gap under the Uneven Electoral System of the Japanese Upper House2017
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  The 75th Annual Midwest Political Science Association Conference
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17052
[Presentation] 参院選地方区の不均一な選挙制度が政党の有権者接触・動員活動に与える影響2016
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本選挙学会2016年度総会・研究会
- Place of Presentation
  日本大学法学部（東京都千代田区）
- Year and Date
  2016-05-15
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-26885053
[Presentation] Strategic Allocation of Party Leader Visits under the Uneven Electoral System of the Japanese Upper House2015
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  APSA 2016 Annual Meeting & Exhibition
- Place of Presentation
  Hilton San Francisco Union Square Hotel, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Year and Date
  2015-09-03
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-26885053
[Presentation] 参院選における党首訪問先の研究：不均一な選挙制度が政党の選挙資源の戦略的配分に与える影響2015
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本政治学会2015年度総会・研究大会
- Place of Presentation
  千葉大学西千葉キャンパス(千葉市稲毛区)
- Year and Date
  2015-10-11
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-26885053
[Presentation] Strategic Allocation of Party Leader Visits under the Uneven Electoral System of the Japanese Upper House
- Author(s)
  Michio Umeda
- Organizer
  American Political Studies Association Annual Meeting
- Place of Presentation
  San Francisco, CA, USA
- Year and Date
  2015-09-03 – 2015-09-06
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-26885053
[Presentation] 競争的/非競争的な選挙戦の民主的帰結：2010年参院選の民主党二人区複数候補擁立戦略の影響
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本政治学会大会
- Place of Presentation
  早稲田大学，東京
- Year and Date
  2014-10-11 – 2014-10-12
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-26885053
[Presentation] 参院選における党首訪問先の研究：不均一な選挙制度が政党の選挙資源の戦略的配分に与える影響
- Author(s)
  梅田道生
- Organizer
  日本政治学会大会
- Place of Presentation
  千葉大学，千葉
- Year and Date
  2015-10-10 – 2015-10-11
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-26885053

1. 西川賢 (10567390)

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 0 results
2. 安中進 (80880202)

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 0 results
3. 小椋郁馬 (40965612)

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 0 results
4. 齋藤崇治 (50979317)

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 0 results
5. KATO Mami

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 0 results
6. KOHNO Ayaka

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 0 results

UMEDA Michio 梅田 道生

Umeda Michio 梅田 道生

Research Projects

Research Products

Co-Researchers

地域レベルの有権者の政策選好の推定、およびこれを規定する要因とその政治的帰結Principal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

暴力的党派性は民主政治を後退させるか：日本における暴力的党派性の実在と効果の検証

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

日本における地域の諸特性と候補者の選挙戦略，選挙結果の関係に関する研究Principal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

The Politics of Aging: Party Mobilization Strategies and Government Spending Structure for the Elderly/Young GenerationsPrincipal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Research Field

Research Institution

The Effect of the Uneven District Magnitude of the Japanese House of Councillors on the Electoral Competition and its Democratic ConsequencePrincipal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Research Field

Research Institution

[Journal Article] 衆議院選挙制度改革以降の参院選との比較における2022年参院選の特徴2024

Author(s)

Journal Title

Data Source

[Journal Article] 選挙区レベルの質的な選挙情勢報道の統合とこれを用いた2021年衆院選の選挙結果予測2023

Author(s)

Journal Title

Data Source

[Journal Article] Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast election results: Evidence from Japan2023

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Dyadic representation in parliamentary democracy in Japan2022

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] District Magnitude and Electoral Mobilization: How Uneven Electoral Systems Shift the Focus of Campaign Efforts by Political Parties2021

Author(s)

Journal Title

Data Source

[Journal Article] The Politics of Aging: Age Difference in Welfare Issue Salience in Japan, 1972-20162020

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Presentation] Examining Party Leader District Visits and Vote Share: A Case from Japanese Lower House Elections2024

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] Examining Party Leader District Visits and Vote Share: A Case from Japanese Lower House Elections2024

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] Ally with a Labor Union or the Leftist?: Strategic Positioning of the Center-Leftist Candidates on the Nuclear Power Plant Issue in Japan2024

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] 衆議院選挙制度改革後の参院選2023

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] Ally with a labor union or the leftist?: How the politicians strategically positioned themselves for the nuclear power plant issue in Japan2023

Author(s)

UMEDA Michio 梅田道生

Umeda Michio 梅田道生

[Presentation] 競争的/非競争的な選挙戦の民主的帰結：2010年参院選の民主党二人区複数候補擁立戦略の影響