The Influence of the Increase in International Cereal Prices on Hokkaido and Tofuken Agriculture

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  • 穀物の国際価格上昇が北海道・都府県農業に及ぼす影響
  • コクモツ ノ コクサイ カカク ジョウショウ ガ ホッカイドウ ・ トフケン ノウギョウ ニ オヨボス エイキョウ

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Abstract

<p>International prices of cereals in 2018 remain high relative to the level of 2005. This paper examines the influence of the increase in international cereal prices on Hokkaido and Tofuken agriculture, based on an inter-regional computable general equilibrium model. The primary outcome of the simulation is as follows. First, an increase in international prices increases agricultural output and farm labor input in Hokkaido and Tofuken. Second, the level of real GRP decreases in Hokkaido and Tofuken. Third, the welfare level of consumers in Hokkaido improves, but that in Tofuken deteriorates.</p>

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