Tsuchiya Yoichi 土屋陽一

Researcher Number	70711620
Other IDs
Affiliation (Current)	2026: 明治大学, 商学部, 専任教授
Affiliation (based on the past Project Information) *help	2023 – 2024: 明治大学, 商学部, 専任教授 2021 – 2022: 明治大学, 商学部, 専任准教授 2019 – 2020: 東北大学, 国際文化研究科, 准教授 2017 – 2018: 東京理科大学, 経営学部ビジネスエコノミクス学科, 准教授 2016: 東京理科大学, 経営学部ビジネスエコノミクス学科, 講師
Review Section/Research Field	Principal Investigator Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related / Economic policy
Keywords	Principal Investigator 情報硬直性 / 期待形成 / 経済予測 / ミクロデータ / 過剰反応 / 不完全情報 / 金融危機 / 国際機関 / 区間予測 / 国際機関予測 … More / アンカリング効果 / 経済統計学 / 経済政策 / 税収 / 景気循環 / 政府予測 Less

Research Projects
(3 results)
Research Products
(11 results)

経済主体の期待形成と主体による差異に関する研究Principal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  土屋陽一
- Project Period (FY)
  2022 – 2026
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
- Research Institution
  Meiji University
Evaluation of forecasts by international organizations and their impacts on private forecastsPrincipal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  Tsuchiya Yoichi
- Project Period (FY)
  2018 – 2021
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
- Research Institution
  Meiji University
  Tohoku University
  Tokyo University of Science
Sources of macroeconomic forecast errors and their impacts on tax revenue estimatesPrincipal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  Tsuchiya Yoichi
- Project Period (FY)
  2016 – 2017
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
- Research Field
  
  Economic policy
- Research Institution
  Tokyo University of Science

All 2024 2023 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article Presentation

[Journal Article] Firms’ economic growth expectations and reactions to micro and macro news in Japan2024
- Author(s)
  Tsuchiya Yoichi、Oh Dongsuk
- Journal Title
  
  Applied Economics Letters
  
  Volume: - Issue: 20 Pages: 1-5
- DOI
  10.1080/13504851.2024.2355978
- Peer Reviewed / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-22K01510
[Journal Article] Rationality and information advantage of the Japanese government’s construction forecasts over economic development2024
- Author(s)
  Tsuchiya Yoichi
- Journal Title
  
  Construction Management and Economics
  
  Volume: - Issue: 8 Pages: 1-24
- DOI
  10.1080/01446193.2024.2312167
- Peer Reviewed / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-22K01510
[Journal Article] Information advantage of narratives to consumers’ inflation forecasts2023
- Author(s)
  Tsuchiya Yoichi、Takemura Hiroyuki、Udagawa Takashi
- Journal Title
  
  Applied Economics Letters
  
  Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 1-6
- DOI
  10.1080/13504851.2023.2266558
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-22K01510
[Journal Article] Consumer’s perceived and expected inflation in Japan—irrationality or asymmetric loss?2022
- Author(s)
  Young Bin Ahn, Yoichi Tsuchiya
- Journal Title
  
  Empirical Economics
  
  Volume: - Issue: 3 Pages: 1247-1292
- DOI
  10.1007/s00181-021-02181-6
- Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-18K12775
[Journal Article] Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts2022
- Author(s)
  Yoichi Tsuchiya
- Journal Title
  
  Economic Analysis and Policy
  
  Volume: 73 Pages: 321-330
- DOI
  10.1016/j.eap.2021.12.005
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-18K12775
[Journal Article] Thirty-year assessment of Asian Development Bank's forecasts2021
- Author(s)
  Yoichi Tsuchiya
- Journal Title
  
  Asian‐Pacific Economic Literature
  
  Volume: 35 Issue: 2 Pages: 18-40
- DOI
  10.1111/apel.12333
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-18K12775
[Journal Article] Directional Accuracy of Singapore’s Macroeconomic Forecasts2019
- Author(s)
  Young Bin Ahn and Yoichi Tsuchiya
- Journal Title
  
  Singapore Economic Review
  
  Volume: - Issue: 05 Pages: 1569-1583
- DOI
  10.1142/s0217590819500541
- Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-18K12775
[Presentation] Do the Federal Reserve's Greenbook forecasts have additional qualitative information over the Survey of Professional Forecasters' forecasts: Multicategorical variables approach2018
- Author(s)
  Yoichi Tsuchiya
- Organizer
  Joint Statistical Meetings 2018
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-18K12775
[Presentation] Qualitative evaluation of the Federal Reserve’s and Survey of Professional Forecasters’ multihorizon forecasts: Multicategorical variables approach2018
- Author(s)
  土屋陽一
- Organizer
  Joint Statistical Meeting
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17119
[Presentation] Uncertainty of budget and macroeconomic forecasting: asymmetric loss or unpredictability of recessions2017
- Author(s)
  土屋陽一
- Organizer
  the 37th International Symposium on Forecasting 2017
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17119
[Presentation] Uncertainty of budget and macroeconomic forecasting: asymmetric loss or unpredictability of recessions2017
- Author(s)
  Yoichi Tsuchiya
- Organizer
  the 37th International Symposium on Forecasting
- Place of Presentation
  Cairns, Australia
- Year and Date
  2017-06-25
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17119

Tsuchiya Yoichi 土屋 陽一

Research Projects

Research Products

経済主体の期待形成と主体による差異に関する研究Principal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

Evaluation of forecasts by international organizations and their impacts on private forecastsPrincipal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

Sources of macroeconomic forecast errors and their impacts on tax revenue estimatesPrincipal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Research Field

Research Institution

[Journal Article] Firms’ economic growth expectations and reactions to micro and macro news in Japan2024

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Rationality and information advantage of the Japanese government’s construction forecasts over economic development2024

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Information advantage of narratives to consumers’ inflation forecasts2023

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Consumer’s perceived and expected inflation in Japan&#8212;irrationality or asymmetric loss?2022

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts2022

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Thirty-year assessment of Asian Development Bank's forecasts2021

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Directional Accuracy of Singapore’s Macroeconomic Forecasts2019

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Presentation] Do the Federal Reserve's Greenbook forecasts have additional qualitative information over the Survey of Professional Forecasters' forecasts: Multicategorical variables approach2018

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] Qualitative evaluation of the Federal Reserve’s and Survey of Professional Forecasters’ multihorizon forecasts: Multicategorical variables approach2018

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] Uncertainty of budget and macroeconomic forecasting: asymmetric loss or unpredictability of recessions2017

Author(s)

Organizer

Data Source

[Presentation] Uncertainty of budget and macroeconomic forecasting: asymmetric loss or unpredictability of recessions2017

Author(s)

Organizer

Place of Presentation

Year and Date

Data Source

Tsuchiya Yoichi 土屋陽一

[Journal Article] Consumer’s perceived and expected inflation in Japan—irrationality or asymmetric loss?2022