Doi Takeshi 土井威志

Researcher Number	80638768
Other IDs	https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-9145
Affiliation (Current)	2025: 国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 付加価値情報創生部門(アプリケーションラボ), 主任研究員
Affiliation (based on the past Project Information) *help	2021 – 2023: 国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 付加価値情報創生部門(アプリケーションラボ), 主任研究員 2020: 国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 付加価値情報創生部門(アプリケーションラボ), 副主任研究員 2019: 国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 付加価値情報創生部門(アプリケーションラボ), 研究員 2016 – 2018: 国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, アプリケーションラボ, 研究員
Review Section/Research Field	Principal Investigator Basic Section 17020:Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences-related / Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology Except Principal Investigator Basic Section 17020:Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences-related
Keywords	Principal Investigator 季節予測 / 準予測シグナル / 予測不可能なノイズ成分 / 季節予測可能なシグナル成分 / 多数アンサンブル予測 / 暖冬 / インド洋ダイポールモード現象 / アンサンブル間の共変動 / シグナルノイズ比 / アンサンブル間相関解析 … More / 多アンサンブル / 東アフリカの短い雨季の季節予測 / アンサンブル位相空間での共変動解析 / シグナルとノイズの比 / 日本の月平均気温偏差の1ヶ月予測精度 / アンサンブル共変動解析 / ノイズ / シグナル / エルニーニョ / 東風バースト / 確率過程 / 貿易風の季節内変動 / 自信過剰 / エルニーニョ予測 … More Except Principal Investigator 高水温現象 / Degree Heating Week / サンゴ白化 / 積算高水温 Less

海洋積算高水温の発生維持機構とその予測可能性
- Principal Investigator
  
  安中さやか
- Project Period (FY)
  2023 – 2026
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 17020:Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences-related
- Research Institution
  Tohoku University
Understaing the boundary between predictable signal and noise toward improvement of seasonal predictionPrincipal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  土井威志
- Project Period (FY)
  2020 – 2024
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
- Review Section
  
  Basic Section 17020:Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences-related
- Research Institution
  Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Why did the El Nino prediction fail in summer 2014?Principal Investigator
- Principal Investigator
  
  Doi Takeshi
- Project Period (FY)
  2016 – 2019
- Research Category
  
  Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
- Research Field
  
  Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
- Research Institution
  Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology

All 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article Presentation

[Journal Article] Seasonal predictability of the extreme Pakistani rainfall of 2022 possible contributions from the northern coastal Arabian Sea temperature2024
- Author(s)
  Doi Takeshi、Behera Swadhin K.、Yamagata Toshio
- Journal Title
  
  npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
  
  Volume: 7 Issue: 1
- DOI
  10.1038/s41612-023-00557-2
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Journal Article] Predictability of Extremely Pluvial Winters Over the Yangtze?Huai River Basin in China2023
- Author(s)
  He Jiaying、Doi Takeshi、Behera Swadhin、Luo Jing‐Jia、Yamagata Toshio
- Journal Title
  
  Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
  
  Volume: 128 Issue: 17
- DOI
  10.1029/2023jd039039
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Journal Article] Can signal-to-noise ratio indicate prediction skill? Based on skill assessment of 1-month lead prediction of monthly temperature anomaly over Japan2022
- Author(s)
  Doi Takeshi、Nonaka Masami、Behera Swadhin
- Journal Title
  
  Frontiers in Climate
  
  Volume: 4
- DOI
  10.3389/fclim.2022.887782
- Peer Reviewed / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074, KAKENHI-PLANNED-19H05701
[Journal Article] On the Predictability of the Extreme Drought in East Africa During the Short Rains Season2022
- Author(s)
  Doi Takeshi、Behera Swadhin K.、Yamagata Toshio
- Journal Title
  
  Geophysical Research Letters
  
  Volume: 49 Issue: 22
- DOI
  10.1029/2022gl100905
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Journal Article] Wintertime Impacts of the 2019 Super IOD on East Asia2020
- Author(s)
  Doi Takeshi、Behera Swadhin K.、Yamagata Toshio
- Journal Title
  
  Geophysical Research Letters
  
  Volume: 47 Issue: 18
- DOI
  10.1029/2020gl089456
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Journal Article] Skill Assessment of Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction of Sea Level Anomaly in the North Pacific Based on the SINTEX-F Climate Model2020
- Author(s)
  Doi Takeshi、Nonaka Masami、Behera Swadhin
- Journal Title
  
  Frontiers in Marine Science
  
  Volume: 7
- DOI
  10.3389/fmars.2020.546587
- Peer Reviewed / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Journal Article] Merits of a 108-Member Ensemble System in ENSO and IOD Predictions2019
- Author(s)
  Doi Takeshi、Behera Swadhin K.、Yamagata Toshio
- Journal Title
  
  Journal of Climate
  
  Volume: 32 Issue: 3 Pages: 957-972
- DOI
  10.1175/jcli-d-18-0193.1
- Peer Reviewed
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Journal Article] Improved Prediction of the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode by Use of Subsurface Ocean Observations2017
- Author(s)
  Doi, T., A. Storto, S.K. Behera, A. Navarra, and T. Yamagata
- Journal Title
  
  J. Climate
  
  Volume: 30 Issue: 19 Pages: 7953-7970
- DOI
  10.1175/jcli-d-16-0915.1
- Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810, KAKENHI-PROJECT-16H04047
[Journal Article] Improved seasonal prediction using the SINTEX-F2 coupled model2016
- Author(s)
  Doi T., S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata
- Journal Title
  
  Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
  
  Volume: 8 Issue: 4 Pages: 1847-1867
- DOI
  10.1002/2016ms000744
- Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant / Open Access
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810, KAKENHI-PROJECT-16H04047
[Journal Article] Relative importance of the processes contributing to the development of SST anomalies in the eastern pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole and its implication for predictability2016
- Author(s)
  Tanizaki C., T. Tozuka, T. Doi, and T. Yamagata
- Journal Title
  
  Climate Dynamics
  
  Volume: - Issue: 4 Pages: 1289-1304
- DOI
  10.1007/s00382-016-3382-2
- Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Degree Heating Weekの季節予測2023
- Author(s)
  土井威志・安中さやか・栗原晴子
- Organizer
  日本海洋学会2023年度秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-23K03488
[Presentation] 2022年に発生したパキスタンの極端な大雨の季節予測可能性とアラビア海北岸域の海表面水温の影響について2023
- Author(s)
  土井威志, Swadhin K. Behera, 山形俊男
- Organizer
  日本気象学会2023年度秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] On the predictability of the extreme drought in East Africa during the short rains season2023
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin K. Behera, and Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  the 28th IUGG General Assembly in Berlin
- Invited / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] On the Predictability of the Extreme Drought in East Africa During the Short Rains Season2023
- Author(s)
  Takeshi DOI,Swadhin BEHERA,Toshio YAMAGATA,
- Organizer
  the 20th Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS2023)
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] 季節予測アウトプットの社会応用可能性2023
- Author(s)
  土井威志, 野中正見, Swadhin K. Behera
- Organizer
  日本気象学会2023年度秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] On the Predictability of the Extreme Drought in East Africa2022
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  AOGS2022
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] 2021年に発生した東アフリカの極端な干ばつの季節予測可能性と負のインド洋ダイポールモードの影響についてーSINTEX-F季節予測シミュレーションの結果よりー2022
- Author(s)
  土井威志・Swadhin Behera,山形俊男
- Organizer
  日本海洋学会2022年度秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] シグナルノイズ比は季節予測精度を暗に示すのか?-日本周辺における1ヶ月先の気温予測の精度調査より-2022
- Author(s)
  土井威志・野中正見・Swadhin Behera
- Organizer
  日本気象学会2022年春季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] On the predictability of the extreme drought in East Africa2022
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin K. Behera, and Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  JpGU2022
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] 2021年に発生した東アフリカの極端な干ばつの季節予測可能性と負のインド洋ダイポールモードの影響について~SINTEX-F季節予測シミュレーションの結果より~2021
- Author(s)
  土井威志
- Organizer
  長期予報研究連絡会2021
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Wintertime impacts of the 2019 super IOD on East Asia2021
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin K. Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  AOGS2021
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] SINTEX-F季節予測システムでみた日本の2ヶ月先の月平均気温の予測可能性2021
- Author(s)
  土井威志
- Organizer
  異常気象研究会2021
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Prediction of 2019 positive Indian Ocean Dipole2021
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  NUIST-JAMSTEC Joint Workshop on Climate Variations and Prediction --in Celebration of 61th Anniversary of NUIST
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] SINTEX-F seasonal prediction system and its application ~A brief review of my recent activities~2021
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi
- Organizer
  THA 2022 International Conference on Moving Towards Sustainable Water and Climate Change Management After COVID-19
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Wintertime impacts of the 2019 super IOD on East Asia2021
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin K. Behera, and Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  WCRP Workshop on Extremes in Climate Prediction Ensembles(ExCPEns)
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Wintertime impacts of the 2019 super IOD on East Asira2021
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  JpGU2021
- Invited
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] 2019 年に発生した極端に強いインド洋ダイポールモード現象-その予測可能性とエルニーニョモドキ現象との関係-2020
- Author(s)
  土井威志・Swadhin Behera・山形俊男
- Organizer
  気象学会2020年度春季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Predictability of the super IOD event in 2019 and its link with El Nino Modoki2020
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] 2019-2020年の記録的な暖冬を、数ヶ月前から予測する鍵は、スーパーインド洋ダイポールモード現象2020
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  海洋学会2020年秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] 2019-2020年の記録的な暖冬を、数ヶ月前から予測する鍵は、スーパーインド洋ダイポールモード現象2020
- Author(s)
  土井威志・Swadhin Behera・山形俊男
- Organizer
  異常気象研究会2020
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Wintertime impacts of the 2019 super IOD on East Asia2020
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  AGU Fall Meeting 2020
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K04074
[Presentation] Westerly Wind Burst (WWB)/Easterly Wind Surge (EWS)-like stochastic forcing parametrization and the effects on ENSO prediction by the SINTEX-F system -Lesson from 2014 El Nino prediction failure2019
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  27th International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics(IUGG) General Assembly
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] 西風バースト/東風サージの発生を確率過程として考慮したエルニーニョ現象予測と自信過剰問題2019
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  2019海洋学会秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Stochastic wind bursts and their roles on the ENSO prediction ~ lessons learned from the false prediction of the 2014 El Nino event ~2019
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  International workshop on future climate change at NUIST
- Invited / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Westerly Wind Burst (WWB)/Easterly Wind Surge (EWS)-like Stochastic Forcing and the Effects on ENSO Prediction by the SINTEX-F System2019
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 16th Annual Meeting(AOGS2019)
- Invited / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Westerly Wind Burst (WWB)/Easterly Wind Surge (EWS)-like stochastic forcing parametrization and the effects on ENSO prediction by the SINTEX-F system -Lesson from 2014 El Nino prediction failure2019
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi, Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  日本地球惑星科学連合 2019年大会
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] 西風バースト/東風サージを確率過程として考慮したエルニーニョ現象予測-2014年の事例-2018
- Author(s)
  土井威志, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  日本海洋学会2018年度秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Westerly Wind Burst (WWB)/Easterly Wind Surge (EWS)-like stochastic forcing scheme and the effects on ENSO prediction by the SINTEX-F system-lesson from 2014 El Nino prediction failure2018
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi,Swadhin Behera, and Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  AGU fall meeting 2018
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Merits of one hundred parallel simulations in seasonal climate prediction2018
- Author(s)
  Doi, T., S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  Fourth International Symposium on Climate and Earth System Modeling
- Invited / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] SINTEX-F季節予測システム-過去現在未来-,2018
- Author(s)
  土井威志,
- Organizer
  異常気象研究集会「季節予測システムの進展と異常気象の要因分析」
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Westerly Wind Burst (WWB)/Easterly Wind Surge (EWS)-like stochastic forcing scheme and the effects on ENSO prediction by the SINTEX-F system-lesson from 2014 El Nino prediction failure2018
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi,Swadhin Behera, and Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  9th OFES workshop
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] One hundred parallel worlds in seasonal prediction2018
- Author(s)
  Takeshi Doi,Swadhin Behera, Toshio Yamagata
- Organizer
  Ocean Sciences Meeting 2018
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] 海洋亜表層観測データを用いた初期値補正とインド洋ダイポールモード現象の予測精度向上について2017
- Author(s)
  土井威志, A. Storto, S. K. Behera, and 山形俊男
- Organizer
  JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] 海洋亜表層観測データを用いた初期値補正とインド洋ダイポールモード現象の予測精度向上について2017
- Author(s)
  土井威志, A. Storto, S. K. Behera, and 山形俊男
- Organizer
  日本気象学会2017年度春季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] 100アンサンブルメンバーによる季節予測実験2017
- Author(s)
  土井威志,S. K. Behera, and 山形俊男
- Organizer
  2017年日本海洋学会秋季大会
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Coastal Nino prediction2016
- Author(s)
  T. Doi, S.K. Behera, T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 13th Annual Meeting
- Place of Presentation
  中国、北京
- Year and Date
  2016-08-01
- Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] The SINTEX-F2 seasonal prediction system2016
- Author(s)
  T. Doi, S.K. Behera, T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 13th Annual Meeting
- Place of Presentation
  中国、北京
- Year and Date
  2016-08-03
- Invited / Int'l Joint Research
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] 海洋亜表層観測データを用いた初期値補正とインド洋ダイポールモード現象の予測精度向上について2016
- Author(s)
  T. Doi, A. Storto, S.K. Behera, T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  日本海洋学会2016年度秋季大会
- Place of Presentation
  鹿児島大学(鹿児島県鹿児島市)
- Year and Date
  2016-09-14
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] Predictability of the California Nino/Nina2016
- Author(s)
  T. Doi, C. Yuan, S.K. Behera, T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  日本地球惑星科学連合 (JpGU) 2016年大会
- Place of Presentation
  幕張メッセ(千葉県千葉市)
- Year and Date
  2016-05-24
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810
[Presentation] SINTEX-F2 seasonal prediction system2016
- Author(s)
  T. Doi, S.K. Behera, T. Yamagata
- Organizer
  日本地球惑星科学連合 (JpGU) 2016年大会
- Place of Presentation
  幕張メッセ(千葉県千葉市)
- Year and Date
  2016-05-23
- Data Source
  KAKENHI-PROJECT-16K17810

1. 安中さやか (80620393)

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 1 results
2. 栗原晴子 (40397568)

# of Collaborated Projects: 1 results

# of Collaborated Products: 1 results

Doi Takeshi 土井 威志

Research Projects

Research Products

Co-Researchers

海洋積算高水温の発生維持機構とその予測可能性

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

Understaing the boundary between predictable signal and noise toward improvement of seasonal predictionPrincipal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Review Section

Research Institution

Why did the El Nino prediction fail in summer 2014?Principal Investigator

Principal Investigator

Project Period (FY)

Research Category

Research Field

Research Institution

[Journal Article] Seasonal predictability of the extreme Pakistani rainfall of 2022 possible contributions from the northern coastal Arabian Sea temperature2024

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Predictability of Extremely Pluvial Winters Over the Yangtze?Huai River Basin in China2023

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Can signal-to-noise ratio indicate prediction skill? Based on skill assessment of 1-month lead prediction of monthly temperature anomaly over Japan2022

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] On the Predictability of the Extreme Drought in East Africa During the Short Rains Season2022

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Wintertime Impacts of the 2019 Super IOD on East Asia2020

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Skill Assessment of Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction of Sea Level Anomaly in the North Pacific Based on the SINTEX-F Climate Model2020

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Merits of a 108-Member Ensemble System in ENSO and IOD Predictions2019

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Improved Prediction of the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode by Use of Subsurface Ocean Observations2017

Author(s)

Journal Title

DOI

Data Source

[Journal Article] Improved seasonal prediction using the SINTEX-F2 coupled model2016

Author(s)

Journal Title

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[Journal Article] Relative importance of the processes contributing to the development of SST anomalies in the eastern pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole and its implication for predictability2016

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[Presentation] Degree Heating Weekの季節予測2023

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[Presentation] 2022年に発生したパキスタンの極端な大雨の季節予測可能性とアラビア海北岸域の海表面水温の影響について2023

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Doi Takeshi 土井威志

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[Presentation] 2021年に発生した東アフリカの極端な干ばつの季節予測可能性と負のインド洋ダイポールモードの影響について~SINTEX-F季節予測シミュレーションの結果より~2021

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